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Canadian Economic Trends Service

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Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Hiver 2019

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 30 pages | January 2019 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Winter 2019 (WEB)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | December 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Winter 2019 (PDF)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 28 pages | December 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Balance of Trade: Will the USMCA Reduce Canada-U.S. Trade Strains?

The signing of the new United States-Mexico-Canada-Agreement (USMCA) last month is the latest signal that North American trade can expect to return to some semblance of normalcy. But ratification in the U.S. Congress is no guarantee, and there are still numerous pain points in the Canada-U.S. trade relationship.

Get valuable insights on what to expect in the near-future during this webinar with Philip Levy, Senior Fellow on the global economy at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. Philip will discuss how the USMCA, the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement in Canadian documentation, or the new NAFTA – can be expected to impact North American trade, why the tensions that remain are unlikely to be resolved, and how the changes affect key sectors of the economy.

Recorded Webinar | December 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook 2019: Canada and the U.S. Are Not in Tune

The U.S. and Canadian economies generally move in concert, but they are not in tune right now. Tax cuts are fuelling a consumer-led boom in the U.S., with the result that the economy expanded at a 4 per cent pace in the second quarter. Canadian growth held its own in the second quarter. Even though a tentative peace has been declared on the Canada-U.S. trade front, exports continue to perform poorly amid lingering uncertainty. Rising interest rates and falling house prices are leading to a pullback in the pace of consumer spending and overall Canadian economic growth. As global trade war fears persist, the world outlook remains at the whims of political uncertainty in the U.S. and elsewhere.

In such a turbulent environment, get the latest detailed global, Canadian and provincial outlooks in this quarterly webinar from Conference Board of Canada Deputy Chief Economist Pedro Antunes. Based on the Conference Board’s detailed economic modelling and analysis, this webinar is a must for economists, business leaders, government officials and others.

Recorded Webinar | November 2018 | Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 170 pages | November 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Three-Dimensional International Trade War: Strategic Positioning for Canada in WTO, NAFTA, and Bilateral Battles

Trade friction at three different levels has exploded into war on three fronts—bilateral, regional and multilateral. The agreement to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) eases tensions on one front (regional), but other battles remain to be settled. Amid the "fog" of war, Canadian businesses have no choice but to plan strategically and consider ways to position themselves to profit—or at least minimise losses. The good old days of happy, duty-free, quota-free, North-South trade in the NAFTA context are over.

In the immediate aftermath of the USMCA announcement and just weeks before the U.S. Congressional elections, this recorded webinar should prove especially timely. Raj Bhala will help participants understand what is happening in cross-border trade in goods and services and foreign direct investment, why it is happening, and how Canadian leaders can respond thoughtfully and effectively.

Recorded Webinar | October 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Automne 2018

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 28 pages | October 2018 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2018 (PDF)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 19 pages | September 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Autumn 2018 (WEB)

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | September 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

How Will Immigration Affect Canada’s Economic Growth?

Drawing upon Canada’s Immigration Levels Plan 2018–2020, The Conference Board of Canada has recently quantified the economic and fiscal impacts of upping immigration. To further understand immigration’s impact on the economy, we have also tested a counterfactual scenario of a “zero immigration world” in which Canada closes its doors to newcomers completely. And, we have been able to differentiate between the contributions to real GDP growth of the economic, refugee, and family classes.

Recorded Webinar | September 2018 | Kareem El-Assal | The Conference Board of Canada

The Latest Trends in Global Immigrant Entrepreneur Programs and Lessons for Canada

Leading business immigration expert Stephane Tajick will tap into his extensive research findings to walk you through the most important developments in global immigrant entrepreneur programs. Stephane will discuss the latest trends, program models, and highlight key lessons for Canada. Specifically, how can Canada design 21st century immigrant entrepreneur programs for the 21st century economy?

Recorded Webinar | September 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Changing Nature of Clusters: Implications for Canada



Many countries, including Canada, have made it a priority to create and support business or industrial clusters. Clusters are generally defined as geographically and sectorally concentrated firms, post-secondary institutions and research organizations that promote linkages among firms and knowledge transfer and exchange. Clusters are seen as drivers of innovative activity, economic growth and high-value employment. But new research from HEC Montréal indicates that the secret to a successful cluster has less to do with the composition of a particular cluster and more to do with its linkages to other clusters and global value chains around the world.

Join HEC Montréal Associate Professor Ari Van Assche for his analysis of the changing nature of clusters. With the federal government preparing to invest more than $950 million in its Innovation Supercluster Initiative, this session is not to be missed.

Recorded Webinar | September 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast: Summer 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Report | 182 pages | August 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook with the Chief Economist: Unfair Trade

The Canadian economy is facing significant headwinds. The trade sector is in turmoil, due to protectionist actions imposed by the Trump Administration. And the domestic economy is showing signs of a slowdown in consumer spending and a decline in residential investment.

Get the latest detailed global, Canadian and provincial outlooks in this quarterly webinar. In an uncertain environment, the Conference Board’s outlook is essential material for economic analysts, business decision-makers and policy-makers.

Recorded Webinar | August 2018 | Pedro Antunes | The Conference Board of Canada

Résumé de la note de conjoncture canadienne : Été 2018

Ce résumé trimestriel reproduit, dans ses grandes lignes, la Note de conjoncture canadienne qui donne les perspectives économiques à court terme pour l’ensemble du Canada.

Résumé | 32 pages | July 2018 | Matthew Stewart | Le Conference Board du Canada

The Economic Implications of U.S. Tariffs on Canada’s Economy

The Trump Administration has imposed tariffs on imports of Canadian steel and aluminum. Canada represents almost 17 per cent of U.S. steel imports, and provides the U.S. with about half of its annual aluminum needs. The ripple effects of these tariffs could cascade throughout the economy. In this 30-minute webinar, get The Conference Board of Canada’s first comprehensive analysis of the potential impact.

Recorded Webinar | July 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Executive Summary: Summer 2018

This quarterly economic forecast provides highlights of the Canadian Outlook report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Executive Summary | 30 pages | July 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

Canada’s Innovation Performance: Finding Rays of Light

Canada’s innovation performance has been weak for decades, earning “C” and “D” grades year-after-year on The Conference Board of Canada’s How Canada Performs Report Card on Innovation. But at the provincial level, a very different story emerges. While some provinces lag international peers on innovation, others are performing at or near the global frontier of innovation excellence.

Which provinces are ranked among the best innovation regions in the world, and which are struggling to keep up? Does Canada receive another “C” or “D” for innovation overall? Has performance improved or continued to slip in Canada? What can Canada and the provinces do to become top-performers on innovation?

In this recorded webinar Paul Preston presents the findings of The Conference Board of Canada’s How Canada Performs Report Card on Innovation. For the second time, the Conference Board’s How Canada Performs analysis compares the innovation performance of individual provinces with that of 16 advanced peer countries. Learn how the provinces and peer countries fare on indicators of three dimensions of innovation performance—capacity, activity and results.

Recorded Webinar | July 2018 | Paul Preston | The Conference Board of Canada

Canadian Outlook Bulletin: Summer 2018

This briefing provides highlights of our quarterly Canadian Outlook Economic Forecast report, which presents the short-term national outlook.

Website | June 2018 | Matthew Stewart | The Conference Board of Canada

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