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International Economic Trends

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The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View: January 2019

Amid several concerning factors, including tightening monetary policy in the US, rising trade protectionism and volatility in oil prices, emerging market growth will slow in 2019.

Report | 6 pages | January 2019 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View: January 2019

Domestic demand will drive Euro Area growth in 2019.

Report | 6 pages | January 2019 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View: January 2019

Stock market volatility reflects a weaker profits environment.

Report | 8 pages | January 2019 | The Conference Board, Inc.

World Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2019

This quarterly examination of the short-term economic outlook for the world's major economies also contains an in-depth analysis of a number of issues that are relevant for understanding world economic trends and developments.

Report | 28 pages | January 2019 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

U.S. Outlook Economic Forecast: Winter 2019

This quarterly report focuses on the latest economic developments in the U.S. economy, tracking trends in labour, consumer, energy and housing markets, and examining industries and regions. Monetary and fiscal policy assumptions are also included.

Report | 28 pages | January 2019 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View—December 2018

The gap between the consumer and the business outlook widens.

Report | 8 pages | January 2019 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Economic Series Report—December 2018

Monthly economic series report.

Report | 13 pages | January 2019 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View—December 2018

Consumers remain buoyant, but the outlook for exports and investment remain challenged.

Report | 7 pages | December 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

Balance of Trade: Will the USMCA Reduce Canada-U.S. Trade Strains?

The signing of the new United States-Mexico-Canada-Agreement (USMCA) last month is the latest signal that North American trade can expect to return to some semblance of normalcy. But ratification in the U.S. Congress is no guarantee, and there are still numerous pain points in the Canada-U.S. trade relationship.

Get valuable insights on what to expect in the near-future during this webinar with Philip Levy, Senior Fellow on the global economy at the Chicago Council on Global Affairs. Philip will discuss how the USMCA, the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement in Canadian documentation, or the new NAFTA – can be expected to impact North American trade, why the tensions that remain are unlikely to be resolved, and how the changes affect key sectors of the economy.

Recorded Webinar | December 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Conference Board Economics Watch® United States View: November 2018

Rising rates will slow the pace of growth in 2019.

Report | 8 pages | December 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Economic Series Report: November 2018

Monthly economic series report

Report | 14 pages | December 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® Emerging Markets View: November 2018

Near-term growth in large emerging market economies is likely to remain soft.

Report | 7 pages | December 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

The Conference Board Economics Watch® European View: November 2018

Business costs increase as the economic outlook moderates. The decline in global trade plays an important role in the Euro Area moderation and negatively affects the outlook for Germany in particular.

Report | 8 pages | December 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

Global Economic Outlook 2019: United States—The High-Flying Economy of 2018 Will Slow in 2019 and Beyond

The US economy enters 2019 strong, thanks to a rare combination of fiscal stimulus and high business and consumer confidence. However, growth is likely to slow during 2019. This report outlines the trends that will slow growth and identifies risks and opportunities for businesses.

Report | 16 pages | November 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

StraightTalk® Global Economic Outlook 2019: On Top of the World…Looking Over the Edge

The global economy has plateaued. Assuming no major disruptions, a gradual slowdown seems most likely. This report outlines seven short-term and seven medium-term trends to help businesses identify risks and opportunities.

Report | 13 pages | November 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

Global Economic Outlook 2019: Emerging Asia—Slower and Riskier, but Still Ahead of the Pack

Economic growth in emerging Asia will still look robust compared to other parts of the world. However, the region still faces risks; trade policy volatility, monetary policy tightening in the United States, high local debt burdens, rising energy prices, and declining local currency valuations will all have an impact.

Report | 15 pages | November 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

Global Economic Outlook 2019: Europe—Thriving in a Slow-growing Europe

The contribution of Europe to global growth will be small, with its expected output growth rate of 1.4 percent a year. However, the size of the EU market, efficient value chains, and the dynamism of some countries (with high levels of productivity and education) still present opportunities.

Report | 13 pages | November 2018 | The Conference Board, Inc.

World Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2018

This quarterly examination of the short-term economic outlook for the world's major economies also contains an in-depth analysis of a number of issues that are relevant for understanding world economic trends and developments.

Report | 22 pages | October 2018 | Kip Beckman | The Conference Board of Canada

U.S. Outlook Economic Forecast: Autumn 2018

This quarterly report focuses on the latest economic developments in the U.S. economy, tracking trends in labour, consumer, energy and housing markets, and examining industries and regions. Monetary and fiscal policy assumptions are also included.

Report | 21 pages | October 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

The Three-Dimensional International Trade War: Strategic Positioning for Canada in WTO, NAFTA, and Bilateral Battles

Trade friction at three different levels has exploded into war on three fronts—bilateral, regional and multilateral. The agreement to replace the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) with the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) eases tensions on one front (regional), but other battles remain to be settled. Amid the "fog" of war, Canadian businesses have no choice but to plan strategically and consider ways to position themselves to profit—or at least minimise losses. The good old days of happy, duty-free, quota-free, North-South trade in the NAFTA context are over.

In the immediate aftermath of the USMCA announcement and just weeks before the U.S. Congressional elections, this recorded webinar should prove especially timely. Raj Bhala will help participants understand what is happening in cross-border trade in goods and services and foreign direct investment, why it is happening, and how Canadian leaders can respond thoughtfully and effectively.

Recorded Webinar | October 2018 | The Conference Board of Canada

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