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Composite Leading Index for Canada

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Read the December 2018 Index

Published: January 23, 2019 (web page)
By: Cory Renner

Highlights

The Conference Board of Canada’s Composite Leading Index saw its largest decline since December 2015 with October’s data, pointing to slower economic growth in 2019. The biggest reason for the decline was a drop of more than 1,000 points in the S&P/TSX stock index in October.


About the Composite Leading Index

Every month the Conference Board of Canada tracks the performance of nine indicators that lead the short-term course of the economy. An analysis is available to e-Library subscribers or for a one-time fee. The Composite Leading Index has been produced since 2016.

Data

GDP (%)
October 2018, CANSIM
0.3

Projected GDP Growth (%)
Q3 2018, CBoC
0.4

Employment, Canada
December 2018, CANSIM
9,300

Projected Employment Growth
Q3 2018, CBoC
40,810

Merchandise Exports (%)
October 2018, CANSIM
1.2

Overnight Rate
October 2018, BoC
1.75

CPI (%, YoY)
September 2018, CANSIM
2.2

Building Permits (%, YoY)
November 2018, CANSIM
11.6

Retail Sales (%)
August 2018, CANSIM
0.1

Consumer Confidence
January 2019, CBoC
6.7

Business Confidence
Q4 2018, CBoC
6.3

Leading Index
December 2018, CBoC
1.2

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